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2024-12-13 03:49:11

Saudi Arabia claims that Israel's actions in Syria have destroyed the opportunity to restore security.Reserve Bank of Australia: Potential inflation is still too high. There is still uncertainty about the prospects. The Committee is increasingly convinced that inflationary pressure is decreasing with the recent forecast, but the risk still exists. The Committee will continue to rely on data and changing risk assessments to guide its decision-making. Although the potential inflation is still at a high level, other recent economic activity data are mixed, but overall, November data is weaker than expected.Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.


Malaysia's palm oil output in November was 1.62 million tons, down 9.80% from October.The investment of Shanghai private equity venture capital industry in the first three quarters was 45.947 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 50%. On December 10th, at the 17th Bund Finance Shanghai International Equity Investment Forum, the development report of Shanghai private equity venture capital industry in 2024 was officially released. According to the report, in the first three quarters of 2024, there were 327 investments in Shanghai private equity venture capital industry, a year-on-year decrease of 47%; The total investment was 45.947 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 50%. All rounds of financing activities have decreased, especially the A+ round, B round, D round and private placement round. The report also shows that in the first three quarters of 2024, the total amount of investment subscribed by Shanghai LP was about 67 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.61%; A total of 301 LPs were invested, a year-on-year decrease of 50.25%.Australian Treasury Secretary chalmers: The new A $2 billion expenditure on natural disaster preparedness will affect the mid-year economic and financial outlook.


Zhu Hongjun was appointed as the Party Secretary of anhui university of finance, and "Anhui Pioneer" WeChat WeChat official account reported on December 10th that a few days ago, the Anhui Provincial Party Committee decided to appoint Comrade Zhu Hongjun as the Party Secretary of anhui university of finance.Foreign media: There was a huge explosion in Damascus, the capital of Syria. According to the latest news from AFP on the 10th, the media reporter heard a huge explosion in Damascus, the capital of Syria, that morning. Agence France-Presse mentioned that just a few hours before the explosion, the British-based Syrian Human Rights Watch reported that since the fall of the Assad regime, Israel has launched about 250 air strikes on Syrian territory.Heavy meeting set the tone! The turnover of A-shares exceeded one trillion yuan for 50 consecutive trading days, focusing on the opportunities of core assets of A50ETF Huabao (159596). On December 10th, the A-share market rose across the board, and the turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded one trillion yuan for the 50th consecutive trading day, setting a new record. By midday, A50ETF Huabao (159596) had increased by 1.98%, with a turnover of 101 million yuan. In terms of constituent stocks, the top ten awkward stocks rose more and fell less. CITIC Securities led the gains, and China Ping An, China Merchants Bank and other stocks followed suit. According to changjiang securities's analysis, "moderately loose monetary policy" indicates abundant liquidity and broad-spectrum interest rate is still in the downward channel, which is expected to benefit bonds and stocks from the denominator. The "more active fiscal policy" and "all-round expansion of domestic demand" indicate that the broad credit policy is expected to continue to increase, and it is expected to support the price of equity assets from the molecular side.

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